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Why Arsenal will win the Premier League (and why they will not) – www.espn.com – SOCCER
The Premier League title race is about to get real for Arsenal. For the primary time since Arsene Wenger’s “Invincibles” received the membership’s final title in 2003-04, Arsenal really feel like a workforce that can go all the way in which and take the trophy to the Emirates. However supervisor Mikel Arteta’s aspect have solely completed the straightforward half to this point.
Make no mistake: to be 5 factors clear on the top of table, having suffered only one defeat in 14 games, is a real achievement for Arteta and his younger workforce. Arsenal deserve to be main the race because the Premier League resumes after six-week pause for the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, however their spectacular begin to the season is now simply money in the financial institution. We’re about to see how far it is going to take them.
– Stream on ESPN+: LaLiga, Bundesliga and more (U.S.)
– O’Hanlon: The 13 stats that specify the 2022 World Cup
Because the Premier League started in 1992-93, there have been 30 accomplished seasons and the workforce that sits top on Christmas Day simply has the sting. Sixteen groups have been top at Christmas and ended up as champions, with 14 golf equipment failing to go the gap. Arsenal had been second to Manchester United on Christmas Day 2003 and went on to be champions.
It is a barely skewed traditionally statistic this time round, with Arsenal solely having performed 14 games because of the World Cup shutdown. By now, groups have usually performed 17 games, so it is maybe unfair to burden Arteta’s workforce with the strain of getting to live as much as the “Christmas leaders” tag. However by beginning so effectively and sustaining their kind, Arsenal are unquestionably in the title race.
Arsenal had an excellent begin to the season and are deservedly main the league heading into the Boxing Day fixtures, however can they stick with it? Stuart MacFarlane/Arsenal FC by way of Getty Photos
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Reigning champions Manchester Metropolis are nonetheless the favourites with each bookmaker, regardless of being 5 factors adrift of the leaders, but Pep Guardiola’s workforce can have little margin for error if Arsenal continue as they left off. This is the problem for Arsenal, nevertheless, and the image is not fairly as clear because it was once they wrapped up for the World Cup with a 2-0 win at Wolves in mid-November.
The largest concern for Arteta would be the lack of striker Gabriel Jesus, who might be sidelined for as much as 4 months with a medial ligament damage he suffered with Brazil on the World Cup. The 25-12 months-previous has scored 5 objectives for the Gunners since his £45 million switch from Man Metropolis in the summer season and whereas his strike rate may not be massively spectacular, it is his contribution as a workforce participant and the successful mentality he has introduced from his time on the Etihad that make him so essential to Arteta’s workforce.
With out Jesus, Arsenal should find a option to make their ahead line perform simply as effectively — and that will not be simple.
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How defender Ben White performs after leaving England’s World Cup squad early for private causes will likely be one other key query for Arteta. White’s versatility and consistency, each at full-again and centre-again, have been essential this season, so Arsenal will want him to return to the shape that earned him that call-up for Qatar.
On the flipside, winger Bukayo Saka had an excellent World Cup with England, and fellow vast attacker Gabriel Martinelli is reportedly near signing a contract extension on the Emirates after coming back from the World Cup with Brazil. So amid the considerations, there have been positives for Arteta to construct on.
The Arsenal supervisor is aware of {that a} robust interval lies forward, although. With more players than any other membership — 9 — having registered more than 1,000 Premier League minutes this season, fatigue might turn into an element as Arsenal (and each other workforce) begin to play catch-up in league and cup play following Qatar 2022.
“We’re going to be taking part in each three days,” Arteta mentioned. “The congestion and the quantity of games we now have to play is going to be unbelievable. We’re going to should have more resources and more players to be ready to do this.
“Now we have the arrogance we’re on the best path, however as effectively, we now have the red lights and alarms, as a result of what is coming in the second half of the season is one thing unprecedented. And we’d like to be prepared for it.”
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FRIDAY, DEC. 23
• Gent vs. Commonplace Liege (2:25 p.m. ET)
MONDAY, DEC. 26
• Sunderland vs. Blackburn (7:25 a.m. ET)
• Sheffield Utd vs. Coventry Metropolis (10 a.m. ET)
• Cardiff Metropolis vs. QPR (12 p.m. ET)
• Luton City vs. Norwich Metropolis (2:40 p.m. ET)
TUESDAY, DEC. 27
• Bolton vs. Derby County (10 a.m. ET)
• Studying vs. Swansea Metropolis (12 p.m. ET)
• Burnley vs. Birmingham Metropolis (3 p.m. ET)
Arsenal’s run of fixtures between now and the return of European football in mid-February will give us a transparent indication as to whether or not they can maintain their title bid or will fall by the wayside, with serial winners Metropolis benefiting from the depth and expertise of their squad to overtake the Gunners.
A house game in opposition to West Ham on Monday is the beginning of the tough run, adopted by a troublesome journey to Brighton and the visit of in-kind Newcastle on Jan. 3. And in the area of a month, after an FA Cup third-spherical journey to Oxford United, Arsenal should play Tottenham (away), Manchester United (dwelling) and Manchester Metropolis ( dwelling), so it is actually a testing interval forward for Arteta and his players.
Some title winners — Leicester (2016), Blackburn (1995) — have began effectively and harnessed a wave of momentum all the way in which to the tip of the season, however many others have run out of steam. We’re about to find out which class Arsenal will fall into this season.
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