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UNC, Texas Plus Another College Hoops Bet For February 4 – Mobile Betting Online – Mobile Betting Online
Now that football is in the rearview, faculty basketball will take up an even bigger chunk of my gambling bankroll. Saturday’s faculty hoops slate is STACKED with a number of convention showdowns.
My three faculty basketball betting appears Saturday are in a rematch of a Large XII shootout from earlier this season, the rivalry on Tobacco Street and West Coast nightcap between two ranked groups.
No. 10 Texas Longhorns (18-4) at No. 7 Kansas State Wildcats (18-4), 4 p.m. ET
College basketball guru, Ken Pom, and Sports Reference says Texas is 3.5 to 4 factors higher than Kansas State on a impartial ground. Ken Pom provides the Wildcats a +3.6 bump for dwelling-court docket.
However, I’m siding with DraftKings Sportsbook who has the Longhorns as a 1-level highway favourite as of early Saturday afternoon. Per VSIN, more than 85% of the money is on the Wildcats on the time of writing.
This implies Kansas State has change into a public ‘canine, which are likely to get slaughtered by sportsbooks. Sometimes, the general public bets favorites so it’s uncommon when the oddsmakers are rooting for the higher crew.
A lot of the public is betting Kansas State for apparent causes. Texas fired its coach earlier this season, the Wildcats routed the Longhorns 116-103 in Austin final month, and Kansas State is ranked greater.
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Kansas State Wildcats guard Markquis Nowell and Texas Longhorns guard Marcus Carr dives for a unfastened ball at Moody Middle in Austin, Texas. (David Buono/Icon Sportswire by way of Getty Pictures)
Nonetheless, I choose to fade the lots and financial institution on the more skilled Texas crew adjusting its defensive game plan. The Wildcats hit 60.0% of their pictures vs. the Longhorns.
There is no manner a protection nearly as good as Texas’s will permit Kansas State to get that hot from the sector once more. Additionally, the Longhorns are twenty fifth in defensive turnover rate (TOV%) and the Wildcats are 226th in offensive TOV%.
If Texas can drive turnovers and get Kansas State’s offense out of rhythm then the Longhorns will get revenge for that double-digit Wildcats’ blowout in January.
College Hoops Greatest Bet #1: Texas moneyline (-115) at DraftKings Sportsbook, as much as -125 earlier than laying as much as -2 on the Longhorns
The Texas Longhorns’ odds at Kansas State Wildcats from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Saturday, February 4th at 1 p.m. ET.
North Carolina Tar Heels (15-7) at Duke Blue Devils (16-6), 6 p.m. ET
This is essentially the most storied rivalry in faculty hoops however it’s been one-sided since 2021. The Tar Heels are 4-1 straight up (SU) and towards the unfold (ATS) in their final 5 conferences with the Blue Devils.
UNC upset Duke in 94-81 in legendary coach Mike Krzyzewski’s remaining game at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The Tar Heels eradicated the Blue Devils in the Elite Eight of final 12 months’s NCAA Event.
Neither crew is assembly preseason expectations coming into this game. North Carolina is simply 7-14-1 ATS and 4-6-1 ATS in ACC games this season. Whereas Duke is 8-14 ATS and a couple of-9 ATS in convention play.
The Tar Heels had their 4-game successful streak snapped their final day out in 65-64 dwelling loss to Pittsburgh. The Blue Devils have gained again-to-again games at Georgia Tech and vs. Wake Forest.
My look in this game is NORTH CAROLINA PLUS THE POINTS due to UNC’s continuity, expertise, ball security and talent to get to the charity stripe.
North Carolina Tar Heels players Pete Nance, Armando Bacot, Tyler Nickel, Caleb Love, and Seth Trimble huddle on the Dean Smith Middle in Chapel Hill, North Carolina. (Peyton Williams/UNC/Getty Pictures)
All 5 of UNC’s starters are upperclassmen. North Carolina returned 71.2% of the scoring from final 12 months’s crew, which went to the nationwide championship, in keeping with Sports Reference.
The Blue Devils returned 11.5% of their scoring and this is the first 12 months of the put up-Coach K period. Duke misplaced 4 starters from final 12 months’s crew to the NBA.
The Tar Heels are 18th in offensive turnover rate (TOV%), in keeping with Ken Pom. The Blue Devils are 162nd in offensive TOV%. Additionally, UNC is averaging the fifth-most free throw makes an attempt per game nationally.
Duke is 205th in offensive FT/FGA rate, per Ken Pom. The Tar Heels are hitting seven more free throws per game than the Blue Devils (16.0-8.8) over their final 5 conferences.
College Hoops Greatest Bet #2: North Carolina +3 (-110) at DraftKings Sportsbook, right down to +2
The North Carolina Tar Heels’ odds on the Duke Blue Devils from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Saturday, Feb. 4th at 11 a.m. ET.
(*4*)No. 12 Gonzaga Bulldogs (19-4) at No. 18 Saint Mary’s Gaels (20-4), 10:30 p.m. ET
The one cause Gonzaga is ranked greater than Saint Mary’s is as a result of the Bulldogs have been No. 2 in the AP preseason ballot and the Gaels have been unranked. In any other case, Saint Mary’s are clearly the higher crew.
This is simply the 2nd time Gonzaga has been an underdog since 2019. The first was early this 12 months when the Bulldogs visited the Texas Longhorns and obtained smacked 93-74 as 2-level highway ‘canine.
Gonzaga is simply 7-14-1 ATS this season with a -3.5 ATS margin and Saint Mary’s is 15-8 ATS with a +4.2 ATS margin. The Gaels have a greater SRS, per Sports Reference, which blends factors per game differential and power of schedule.
Saint Mary’s is the appropriate facet as a result of it has a much higher protection and everybody is going to bet Gonzaga as underdogs. DraftKings is reporting by way of VSIN that almost 70% of the motion is on the Bulldogs on the time of writing.
Gonzaga C Drew Timme is fouled by Saint Mary’s C Mitchell Saxen throughout the West Coast Convention championship on the Orleans Enviornment in Las Vegas. (Ethan Miller/Getty Pictures)
Gonzaga is nineteenth in 3-level proportion and ninth in 2-level proportion. Saint Mary’s is 51st in defensive 3-level taking pictures, thirty fifth in defensive 3-level-try rate (3PAr) allowed and tenth in defensive 2-level taking pictures.
Gaels large Mitchell Saxen has the dimensions and paint presence to neutralize Bulldogs large Drew Timme. Saxen has a better offensive and defensive rebounding rate than Timme and a better block rate.
The Bulldogs on the other hand are simply 242nd in defensive 3-level taking pictures and 208th in 3PAr. So not solely does Gonzaga permit a bunch of pictures however opponents are getting adequate appears to punish the Bulldogs.
Saint Mary’s sharpshooting guards Alex Ducas and Aidan Mahaney, each of whom shoot higher than 43% from behind the arc, are going to gentle up Gonzaga’s smooth 3-level protection.
College Hoops Greatest Bet #3: Saint Mary’s -3 (-110) at DraftKings, as much as -3.5
The Saint Mary’s Gaels’ odds vs. the Gonzaga Bulldogs from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Saturday, Feb. 4th at 11:30 a.m. ET.
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Saturday’s faculty basketball slate is filled with a number of convention showdowns. My three finest bets are Texas moneyline (-115) at DraftKings Sportsbook, North Carolina (+3) at Duke and Saint Mary’s (-3) vs. Gonzaga. Texas is 3.5 to 4 factors higher than Kansas State on a impartial ground, and the Longhorns are a 1-level highway favourite. North Carolina is 4-1 SU and ATS in their final 5 conferences with Duke. Gonzaga is simply 7-14-1 ATS this season, whereas Saint Mary’s is 15-8 ATS with a +4.2 ATS margin. All three bets can be found at DraftKings Sportsbook.
