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Three College Hoops Gambling Looks For Saturday, January 27 – Mobile Betting Online – Mobile Betting Online
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Saturday’s school hoops slate is completely loaded that includes the SEC/Huge XII Problem, two of which I’ll handicap beneath. Apart from the Arkansas-Baylor and Kansas-Kentucky games, I’ll additionally take a shot within the Ohio State-Indiana Huge Ten battle.
Arkansas Razorbacks (14-6) at No. 17 Baylor Bears (15-5), 4 p.m. ET.
Baylor hosts Arkansas on the Ferrell Heart Saturday within the 2023 SEC/Huge XII Problem. The Bears prolonged their profitable streak to 5 games — 4-0-1 towards the unfold (ATS) — with a 75-69 residence win over Kansas Monday.
Arkansas has gained again-to-again games however misplaced its 4 earlier games from January 7-18, three of which had been on the highway. The Razorbacks are 0-4 straight up (SU) and ATS in away games this season.
They’ve a -8.0 SU margin and -8.9 ATS margin in these games. Certainly one of Arkansas’s 4 highway opponents (Auburn) is contained in the top 55 groups in Ken Pom’s adjusted effectivity margin. All 5 of Baylor’s losses had been vs. top-25 groups in Ken Pom’s web effectivity.
Baylor Bears C Flo Thamba celebrates because the Bears beat the Kansas Jayhawks at Ferrell Heart in Waco, Texas. (Tom Pennington/Getty Photos)
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Arkansas is a younger workforce nonetheless studying easy methods to win. The Razorbacks returned simply 16.6% of their minutes performed and 13.0% of their factors scored from final 12 months’s workforce, in keeping with Sports activities Reference. Whereas the Bears have 4 upperclassmen of their beginning 5.
Moreover, this is solely Arkansas’s fifth true highway game this season and Baylor’s residence health club needs to be leaping for this out-of-convention showdown.
Baylor is good within the areas that help groups cowl large numbers. The Bears are thirty second in 3-level-try rate, twenty first in offensive FT/FGA rate, and eighth in offensive rebounding rate, per Ken Pom.
The underside line is Arkansas’s offense can’t sustain with Baylor in Waco, Texas.
College Hoops Greatest Wager #1: Baylor -6.5 (-110) at DraftKings Sportsbook, as much as -7
The Baylor Bears’ odds vs. the Arkansas Razorbacks from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Friday, Jan. twenty seventh at 1:45 a.m. ET.
Ohio State Buckeyes (11-9) at Indiana Hoosiers (14-6), 8 p.m. ET
This is the first Ohio State-Indiana assembly this season. The house workforce gained and lined each final 12 months. Hoosiers large Trayce Jackson-Davis tore the Buckeyes up final 12 months at residence, scoring 27 factors on 64.7% capturing with 12 rebounds.
Each groups fell out of the top-25 three weeks in the past. However, Indiana has turned the nook and Ohio State is nonetheless struggling.
After shedding three straight from January 5-11, the Hoosiers enter on a 4-game profitable streak (3-1 ATS). Whereas the Buckeyes 1-6 SU and ATS over their final seven games.
Jackson-Davis has been balling in Indiana’s present 4-game profitable streak. Over that span, he’s averaging 27.3 factors per game on 63.4% capturing with 14.3 rebounds and 4.8 blocks.
Indiana Hoosiers large Trayce Jackson-Davis reacts to a call on the ground vs. the Minnesota Golden Gophers at Williams Area in Minneapolis. (David Berding/Getty Photos)
The tallest participant in Ohio State’s beginning frontcourt is 6-foot-8 so Jackson-Davis ought to have an enormous game on this assembly as effectively. Plus Indiana has more continuity and expertise.
Ohio State returned simply 16.2% of the minutes performed and 14.1% of the scoring from final 12 months’s squad. Indiana returned 77.2% of the minutes and 83.6% of the scoring.
Ken Pom ranks the Buckeyes with the 350th greatest minutes continuity out of 363 charted basketball applications and the Hoosiers thirty eighth. Ohio State is 337th in help-to-discipline-aim-made rate (A/FGM) and Indiana is 71st in A/FGM.
Lastly, the Buckeyes are 1-4 SU and ATS on the highway vs. Huge Ten groups this season. The Hoosiers are 3-1 SU (+11.5 SU margin) and ATS (+4.5 unfold differential) at residence in convention games.
College Hoops Greatest Wager #2: Indiana -5 (-110) at DraftKings Sportsbook
The Indiana Hoosiers’ odds vs. the Ohio State Buckeyes from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Friday, Jan. twenty seventh at 3 a.m. ET.
No. 9 Kansas Jayhawks (16-4) at Kentucky Wildcats (14-6), 8 p.m. ET
Gimme an unranked Kentucky workforce vs. the reigning nationwide champion Kansas who’re a public ‘canine. Based on VSIN, practically 70% of the motion is on the Jayhawks, which is smart.
Sometimes, public bettors gravitate in direction of the ranked workforce when going through an unranked groups. Individuals will suppose, “Wow, No. 9 Kansas Jayhawks is getting factors towards an unranked Kentucky.”
However, these groups are trending in the other way coming into Saturday. The Jayhawks have misplaced three straight and are 0-5 ATS of their final 5 games. Whereas the Wildcats have gained 4 in a row (4-0 ATS).
Two of these Kentucky wins had been double-digit blowout. One other was on the highway vs. No. 4 Tennessee. The other sufferer was a troublesome Texas A&M workforce who’s solely loss previously 9 games was towards the Wildcats.
Kentucky Wildcats C Oscar Tshiebwe makes an attempt a layup within the 2nd half towards the LSU Tigers at Rupp Area in Lexington, Kentucky. (Dylan Buell/Getty Photos)
Additionally, Kentucky waxed Kansas 80-62 this similar time final 12 months and that was clearly a greater Jayhawks workforce. KU misplaced its top-three scorers from final 12 months’s nationwide championship profitable workforce.
Each groups play by means of their bigs: Kentucky C Oscar Tshiebwe leads his workforce in utilization rate as does Kansas C Jalen Wilson has the best utilization, per Ken Pom.
Nonetheless, Tshiebwe has a greater offensive ranking (124.7-108.9), offensive rebounding rate (19.6-5.7%), defensive rebounding rate (30.2-21.4%) and block rate (3.4-1.9%).
Kentucky has an enormous edge on the glass. UK leads the nation in offensive rebounding rate and KU are 198th in defensive rebounding.
This results in the Wildcats profitable the battle of possessions. Kentucky has a +4.8 discipline-aim-try (FGA) margin per game and Kansas are simply +2.1 in FGA per game.
Lastly, Rupp Area is one of many hardest locations to visit in school basketball. Ken Pom offers Kentucky the ninth-greatest residence-court docket benefit in school basketball at +4.2.
College Hoops Greatest Wager #3: Kentucky -2.5 (-110) at DraftKings, as much as -3
The Kentucky Wildcats’ odds vs. the Kansas Jayhawks from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Saturday, Jan. twenty eighth at 9:30 a.m. ET.
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