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Texas Tech Vs. Ole Miss – Mobile Betting Online
The one arguments for the Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-5) masking the unfold vs. the Ole Miss Rebels (8-4) in the Texas Bowl are “it’s a house game for the Red Raiders” and the non-line motion.
Certain, it is the Texas Bowl is at NRG Stadium in Houston. Texas Tech can have more followers in the stands. and a Massive XII has received six consecutive Texas Bowls.
Ole Miss Rebels head coach Lane Kiffin of the yells at an official in the course of the game towards the Alabama Crimson Tide at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, Mississippi. (Justin Ford/Getty Pictures)
Nevertheless, since Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin’s first season on the job (2020), the Rebels are 4-1-1 towards the unfold (ATS) as highway favorites.
Practically 70% of the money at DraftKings Sportsbook is on Ole Miss, in response to VSIN. Regardless, the Rebels have fallen from -4 to the present number, which is clearly suspicious.
Moneyline: Ole Miss (-170), Texas Tech (+145)ATS: OLE MISS -3.5 (-110), Texas Tech +3.5 (-110)Whole — 72 — Over: -110, Beneath: -110
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That mentioned, I’m not placing much inventory into the Texas Tech-Ole Miss betting splits. As a result of how many individuals are actually betting the Texas Bowl? Neither Texas or Mississippi have legalized sports betting.
Plus it was simply Christmas weekend. The NFL is king and school football’s bowl season is method worse in the publish-switch portal and choose-out eras.
Apart from that stuff, I don’t see the way you can get to the window to again Texas Tech. Ole Miss has a more proficient program, Kiffin is a more confirmed coach and …
The Rebels are higher by the number
The Rebels are +1.0 in web yards per play (nYPP) and +0.058 in web factors per play (nPPP). Whereas Texas Tech is -0.8 in nYPP and -0.074 in nPPP.
Per Soccer Outsiders, the Rebels rank twenty second in offensive drive effectivity and the Red Raiders rank 72nd. Texas Tech is -9 in turnover differential and rank 102nd in turnover rate.
Moreover, Ole Miss has a much more balanced assault. The Rebels are ninth nationally in yards per rush (5.4) and the Red Raiders are 83rd (3.8 yards per rush).
Ole Miss switch sophomore QB Jaxson Dart is a twin-risk quarterback with a greater passer effectivity score than all three Texas Tech QBs that began beneath middle this season.
Ole Miss Rebels QB Jaxson Dart throws a cross towards the Arkansas Razorbacks at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Arkansas. (Wesley Hitt/Getty Pictures)
Red Raiders QB Tyler Shough will get the nod Thursday and has tried the fewest passes of Texas Tech’s QB trio. Shough beat Kansas, Iowa State and Oklahoma to finish the Red Raiders’ common season.
Kansas’s protection is 118th in EPA/play (out of 131 FBS packages), Oklahoma’s protection is eighty fifth in EPA/play and Texas Tech scored simply 14 factors in a win over Iowa State.
Additionally, Ole Miss switch junior RB Zach Evans performed for TCU in the Massive XII final season. In his game final season vs. Texas Tech, Evans ran for 143 yards on 17 carries with 2 TDs. The Red Raiders’ speeding protection is truly worse this yr.
Lastly …
Motivational talking
The toughest a part of handicapping school football bowl games these days is determining who needs to be there. Clearly, the Red Raiders wish to win the Texas Bowl in their yard.
However, Ole Miss appears excited to be on the Texas Bowl as effectively. Each groups have reported no choose-outs and neither have misplaced a ton of expertise in the switch portal.
The truth that the entire Rebels players opted into this game after a disappointing finish to an everyday-season they began 7-0 in is a testomony to this system Kiffin is constructing.
Ole Miss Rebels RB Quinshon Judkins celebrates with a TD with QB Jaxson Dart towards the Alabama Crimson Tide at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. (Austin McAfee/Icon Sportswire through Getty Pictures)
Dart can be again subsequent yr as will Rebels true freshman RB Quinshon Judkins who leads the convention in speeding yards. And Kiffin is making an attempt to show that Ole Miss can be an SEC contender for years to come back.
So long as the motivation is there, the Rebels ought to roll as a result of, on paper, Ole Miss is method higher than Texas Tech.
Texas Bowl Greatest Bet: Ole Miss -3.5 (-110) at DraftKings Sportsbook
The Ole Miss Rebels’ odds vs. the Texas Tech Red Raiders for the Texas Bowl from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Wednesday, December twenty eighth at 12:40 p.m. ET.
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