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Michigan Will Massacre TCU In The Fiesta Bowl – Mobile Betting Online – Mobile Betting Online
The Large Ten champion and No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (13-0) face the No. 3 TCU Horned Frogs (12-1) Saturday in the Fiesta Bowl of the School Soccer Playoffs semifinal. Kickoff at State Farm Stadium is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET.
Michigan punched its ticket into the CFP by boat-racing the Ohio State Buckeyes 45-23 in The Game then pummeled the Purdue Boilermakers 43-22 in the Large Ten championship.
TCU backed into the CFP after dropping the Large XII championship to the Kansas State Wildcats 32-18 in extra time. The Horned Frogs wanted the Utah Utes to beat the USC Trojans in the Pac-12 title game to sneak into the CFP.
TCU Horned Frogs QB Max Duggan reacts after being known as down simply wanting the objective line in OT in opposition to the Kansas State Wildcats in the Large XII Championship at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. (Ron Jenkins/Getty Pictures)
Finally, there is an oceanic hole between TCU and the other three groups in the CFP. The Horned Frogs are more of a one-man show starring 2022 Heisman finalist QB Max Duggan. Whereas the Wolverines can beat you in a bevy of ways.
Moneyline: TCU (+255), Michigan (-305)In opposition to the unfold (ATS): TCU +7.5 (-110), MICHIGAN -7.5 (-110)Complete — 58.5 — Over: -110, Below: -110
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Eight of the 16 first-spherical games have been double-digit blowouts because the CFP’s inception in 2014. Michigan was sadly on the receiving finish of a type of first-spherical ass whoopings final 12 months.
The defending nationwide champion Georgia Bulldogs bludgeoned the Wolverines 34-11 as 7.5-level favorites in final 12 months’s Orange Bowl.
Most individuals would assume it’s the 1-seed beating the snot out of the 4-seed. However, six of these eight first-spherical double-digit victories are in the 2- vs. 3-seed matchups.
I carry this up as a result of I’ve clearly pegged the TCU-Michigan Fiesta Bowl as this CFP’s honorary first-spherical snoozer. Pay attention, I’ve made quite a lot of money backing the Horned Frogs in 2022.
Additionally, Duggan ought to be at the very least the third quarterback taken in the primary-spherical of the upcoming draft behind Alabama’s Bryce Younger and possibly Ohio State’s C.J. Stroud.
Nonetheless, the Horned Frogs simply don’t have the dudes to compete with the Wolverines. First-12 months TCU coach Sonny Dykes obtained essentially the most out of this roster however the Horned Frogs returned a ton of manufacturing from final 12 months’s squad.
Michigan man Jim Harbaugh has been growing his program for years and Harbaugh is lastly dwelling as much as expectations. The Wolverines blasted the Buckeyes in their final two conferences.
Michigan Wolverines head coach Jim Harbaugh watches his workforce in the course of the 2nd half in the Large Ten Championship in opposition to the Purdue Boilermakers at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. (Justin Casterline/Getty Pictures)
There’s four- and 5-star expertise everywhere in the discipline for Michigan. Plus Harbaugh’s model of football is one thing I can get behind. My three tenets of profitable football include establishing the run, hitting the QB and throwing the deep ball.
Wolverines RB Blake Corum is a 2022 unanimous All-American however had season-ending knee surgical procedure is has been dominated out of the Fiesta Bowl.
But Michigan second-string RB Donovan Edwards averages more yards per rush than Corum (7.5-5.9). Edwards went nuts when Corum was sidelined with damage for The Game and convention title game.
He rushed for 216 yards on 22 carries with 2 TDs vs. Ohio State and Edwards gained 185 yards on 25 rushes with 1 TD vs. Purdue in the Large Ten title game.
These physique blows from Michigan’s offense permits sophomore QB J.J. McCarthy to attach on deep pictures. McCarthy linked on 69-, 75- and 45-yard TD passes vs. the Buckeyes final month.
Michigan Wolverines QB J.J. McCarthy passes to WR Cornelius Johnson in the course of the 1st quarter of a game in opposition to the Ohio State Buckeyes at Ohio Stadium in Columbus, Ohio. (Ben Jackson/Getty Pictures)
Moreover, per Soccer Outsiders, Michigan’s protection is thirty fourth in sack rate and tenth in go-down sack rate. TCU’s offensive line is 58th in sack rate and forty sixth in go-down sack rate.
There’s an excellent likelihood the Horned Frogs are in quite a lot of passing conditions. The Wolverines is second in yards per rush allowed (2.9) and speeding yards per game (85.2). Whereas TCU averages simply 4.2 yards per rush (ranked 63rd nationally) and 154.3 speeding yards per game (68th).
All this explains why Michigan’s protection ranks sixteenth in third-down conversion rate allowed and TCU’s offense is 57th in third-down conversion rate.
Merely put, I’m undecided how the Horned Frogs +7.5 (-110) will get there. Except for an all-time CFP efficiency out of Duggan or an entire no-show from Michigan, the Fiesta Bowl ought to be all Wolverines.
As I mentioned Thursday on the Mobile Betting Online Bets podcast that includes the homie Grayson Weir, possibly “tease” Michigan’s unfold down with both UCLA (-8) in the Solar Bowl or Penn State (+2) in the Rose Bowl relying on if you read this.
That mentioned, I’ll fortunately lay the factors with the Wolverines here anticipating an annual first-spherical CFP rout.
Fiesta Bowl Greatest Bet: Michigan -7.5 (-110) at DraftKings
The Michigan Wolverines’ odds vs. the TCU Horned Frogs in the Fiesta Bowl from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Friday, Dec. 30 at 11:15 a.m. ET.
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