0
0
[ad_1]
Circa Million IV NFL Week 9 Picks – OutKick – OutKick
Week 8 in my Geoffrow Record Circa Million IV entry was salvaged by a last-second decision to forgo a Cincinnati Bengals pick, going with Baltimore Ravens on Thursday Night Football instead.
Week 8 Recap (3-2):
RAVENS (+2) at Buccaneers Broncos vs. JAGUARS (-2.5) Bears at COWBOYS (-9.5) Commanders at COLTS (-2.5) TITANS (-2.5) at Texans
I moved up in the Circa Million IV standings to a tie for 920th out of 4,680 players with a 22-16-2 record. There’s still a lot of work that needs to be done to get into the money. But, we are headed in the right direction …
Circa Million IV NFL Week 9 Picks
Listed by order of confidence. First is most confident, and fifth is least.
Bears (+5) Bills (-12.5) Raiders (-1.5) Panthers (+7.5) Saints (+2.5)
Your Most Trusted Casinos for 2023!
Dream Catcher is Live at Goldman Casino and Offers the Opportunity for some stunning wins up to 40x with Truly Live Presentation! Not Only That, deposit TODAY as a new player and get 100% up to £100 Extra Free to Play + 20 Free Spins on Book of Dead Hit Slot* LIMITED TIME OFFER!!!
*18+ Only New Players Only. Wager from real balance first. 50X wager the bonus. Contribution varies per game. selected games only. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Bonus valid 30 days / Free spins valid 7 days from receipt. Max conversion: 3x the bonus amount or from free spins: £20. Withdrawal requests voids all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.
Wild West Slots at The Fastest Paying Casino in the West!
Goldman Casino has been growing in popularity since 2016, making them one of the best go-to real money online casinos on the market. Goldman Online Casino is powered by over 30 of the best software providers, and its games are provided through an easy-to-use web-based platform.
Get 100% up to £100 Free and 20 Free Spins on Book of Dead when you Deposit!
*18+ Only, New Players Only. Wager from real balance first. 50X wager the bonus. Contribution varies per game. selected games only. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Bonus valid 30 days / Free spins valid 7 days from receipt. Max conversion: 3x the bonus amount or from free spins: £20. Withdrawal requests voids all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply
Start Today: Play with Real Money NOW!
More Tried, Tested & Trusted Online Casinos - Available to Players in over 177 Countries!
SlotJar Safe Online Casino
Only the longest established UK casinos, All transactions 100% verified & monitored, fully regulated RNG's, Fastest Paying UK Casinos, Live-Chat and friendliest customer service, 177+ supported countries. 100% satisfaction guarantee.
Lucks Casino is well-trusted and here to stay. LucksCasino.com takes advantage of a full suite of top-tier games, meaning you will always be fully entertained. Check out the deals on the site right now!
- Get 100% up to $€£200 Bonus Today!*
*18+ Only, New Players Only. Wager from real balance first. 50X wager the bonus. Contribution varies per game. selected games only. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Bonus valid 30 days / Free spins valid 7 days from receipt. Max conversion: 3x the bonus amount or from free spins: £20. Withdrawal requests voids all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.
Start Today: Play with Real Money NOW!
Play Securely at LucksCasino.com
SlotJar is your slots pay by phone bill and Online Slots UK Casino jackpots website – It’s not a new casino, it’s been established since 2014, and is one of the most popular slots sites for online and phone payment real money games. Play at SlotJar today and receive a great bonus when you deposit. Play over 2800 different games.
Get 100% Bonus Up to £200 Now!
*18+ Only Full Terms Apply.
Start Today: Play with Real Money NOW!
Fishin' Frenzy Megaways (TM) is a Top UK Slots Game with Huge Rewards! Get the boats to come in and watch your stake multiply x£££ at Lucks Casino!
**18+ Only, New Players Only. Wager from real balance first. 50X wager the bonus. Contribution varies per game. selected games only. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Bonus valid 30 days / Free spins valid 7 days from receipt. Max conversion: 3x the bonus amount or from free spins: £20. Withdrawal requests voids all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.
Start Today: Play with Real Money NOW!
Lucks Casino has been entertaining the gambling masses internationally, since 2015, and continues to offer the finest quality table games with bonuses available throughout the year! Lucks allows you to play on mobile or desktop and cash out quickly in £$€. Players are supported in over 177 countries. Enjoy over 2,500 superb games from the best names in the business!
*18+ Only New Players Only. Wager from real balance first. 50X wager the bonus. Contribution varies per game. selected games only. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Bonus valid 30 days / Free spins valid 7 days from receipt. Max conversion: 3x the bonus amount or from free spins: £20. Withdrawal requests voids all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.
Triple Edge Poker by Betsoft is a thrilling and engaging video poker game that has become increasingly popular among players. The game offers a unique twist on traditional poker and provides players with an immersive gaming experience that is both entertaining and potentially rewarding.
The Advantages of Playing Triple Edge Poker:
- Unique gameplay: Triple Edge Poker introduces a new twist on the classic game of poker, as players are able to play three hands at once instead of just one. This increases the level of excitement and increases the player's chances of winning.
- High-quality graphics: Betsoft is known for its top-notch graphics, and Triple Edge Poker is no exception. The game features realistic and detailed card and table graphics that are sure to immerse players into the game.
- Great payouts: Triple Edge Poker offers players the opportunity to win big, with payouts that are often higher than traditional video poker games.
- Convenient and accessible: Triple Edge Poker can be played on desktop and mobile devices, making it convenient for players to access and play the game from wherever they are.
- Exciting bonus features: Triple Edge Poker features several exciting bonus features, including the chance to win extra payouts and participate in bonus rounds.
- Overall, Triple Edge Poker by Betsoft is a great choice for players who are looking for a unique and thrilling video poker experience. The game's combination of exciting gameplay, high-quality graphics, and great payouts make it a must-try for any fan of video poker.
*18+ Only New Players Only. Wager from real balance first. 50X wager the bonus. contribution varies per game. selected games only. Wagers are calculated on bonus bets only. Bonus valid 30 days / Free spins valid 7 days from receipt. Max conversion: 3x the bonus amount or from free spins: £20. Withdrawal requests void all active and pending bonuses. excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.
Play Online Casino at TopSlotSite.com Get 100% Welcome Bonus up to $€£100 and 20 Free Spins*. Enjoy over 1000 Online Casino & Slots Games NOW! t&c's Apply
100% Satisfaction guaranteed! Yes, Top Slot Site is a Gambling Slot Site Where you can play for Real Money and Get your Winnings with Total Ease. So Relax, Select from over 1000 Superb Games and Enjoy our Live Online Gambling and Casino Betting Mecca.
*18+ Only, New Players Only. Wager from real balance first. 50X wager the bonus. Contribution varies per game. selected games only. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Bonus valid 30 days / Free spins valid 7 days from receipt. Max conversion: 3x the bonus amount or from free spins: £20. Withdrawal requests voids all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.
Established in 2014 and with over 2800 superb games including Slots, Live Casino, Roulette, Blackjack, Instant win and much more TopSlotSite.com is certain to have a game suited to your needs.
Play Online Casino at TopSlotSite.com Get 100% Welcome Bonus up to $€£100 and 20 Free Spins*. Enjoy over 1000 Online Casino & Slots Games NOW! t&c's Apply
100% Satisfaction guaranteed! Yes, Top Slot Site is a Gambling Slot Site Where you can play for Real Money and Get your Winnings with Total Ease. So Relax, Select from over 1000 Superb Games and Enjoy our Live Online Gambling and Casino Betting Mecca.
*18+ Only, New Players Only. Wager from real balance first. 50X wager the bonus. Contribution varies per game. selected games only. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Bonus valid 30 days / Free spins valid 7 days from receipt. Max conversion: 3x the bonus amount or from free spins: £20. Withdrawal requests voids all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.
GoldmanCasino.com is one of the leading online gaming destinations, offering players a wide range of exciting games and endless opportunities to win big. One of the most popular games at the casino is 20p Roulette, a classic casino game that has been enjoyed by players for generations.
This exciting game combines the thrill of chance with the excitement of spinning the wheel, making it the perfect choice for anyone looking for an entertaining and potentially lucrative gaming experience.
Roulette is a simple game to play, with players placing their bets on the numbers or colors they think the ball will land on. The 20p stake means that anyone can enjoy playing this classic game, whether you're a seasoned player or just starting out. With the ease of playing from the comfort of your own home, you can now enjoy the thrill of spinning the wheel without ever having to leave your house.
At GoldmanCasino.com, you'll find a range of different roulette games, including European Roulette and American Roulette. The games are designed to be as realistic as possible, with excellent graphics and sound effects that bring the excitement of the casino to your screen. You'll also find a variety of different betting options, including inside bets and outside bets, so you can choose the type of bet that suits you best.
Another great feature of GoldmanCasino.com is the range of promotions and bonuses available to players. Whether you're a new player or a seasoned pro, you'll find a range of offers that will help you maximize your winnings. For example, the welcome bonus gives new players a chance to double their first deposit, giving them more money to play with and a better chance of hitting a big win.
In addition to the bonuses and promotions, GoldmanCasino.com also offers a range of safe and secure banking options. Whether you prefer to use your credit card, e-wallet, or bank transfer, you'll find a method that suits you. And with 24/7 customer support available, you can be confident that you'll always have help when you need it.
In conclusion, playing 20p Roulette at GoldmanCasino.com is an exciting and potentially lucrative experience. With a wide range of games, bonuses, and promotions, as well as safe and secure banking options, this is the perfect place for anyone looking for an enjoyable and rewarding online gaming experience. So why wait? Head over to Goldman Casino.com today and start spinning the wheel to see if you can win big!
*18+ Only, New Players Only. Wager from real balance first. 50X wager the bonus. Contribution varies per game. selected games only. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Bonus valid 30 days / Free spins valid 7 days from receipt. Max conversion: 3x the bonus amount or from free spins: £20. Withdrawal requests voids all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.
Welcome to LucksCasino.com, the ultimate online casino gaming destination! With over 2800 casino and slots games to choose from, you're sure to find your new favorite game here.
Our casino games include all the classics, such as blackjack, roulette, and baccarat, as well as a variety of exciting variations of these games. We also offer a huge selection of online slots, featuring everything from classic fruit machines to the latest video slots with stunning graphics and bonus features.
At LucksCasino.com, we pride ourselves on offering a safe and secure gaming environment. We use state-of-the-art encryption technology to ensure that your personal and financial information is always protected. Our games are independently tested for fairness by third-party auditors, so you can be sure that you're playing on a level playing field.
We also offer a range of convenient payment options, including credit and debit cards, e-wallets, and bank transfers, so you can choose the method that works best for you. And if you ever need help or support, our friendly and knowledgeable customer service team is available 24/7 to assist you.
As a new player at Lucks Casino.com, you'll be eligible for a range of exciting bonuses and promotions. Our welcome bonus package includes a generous match bonus on your first deposit, as well as free spins on selected slots. We also run regular promotions, such as cashback offers, prize draws, and leader board tournaments, so you can enjoy even more chances to win.
So why wait? Sign up to LucksCasino.com today and start playing your favorite casino and slots games! With over 2800 games to choose from, unbeatable bonuses and promotions, and a safe and secure gaming environment, you're sure to have a fantastic gaming experience.
*18+ Only, New Players Only. Wager from real balance first. 50X wager the bonus. contribution varies per game. selected games only. Wagers are calculated on bonus bets only. Bonus valid 30 days / Free spins valid 7 days from receipt. Max conversion: 3x the bonus amount or from free spins: £20. Withdrawal requests void all active and pending bonuses. excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.
SlotJar is your slots pay by phone bill and Online Slots UK Casino jackpots website – It’s not a new casino, it’s been established since 2014, and is one of the most popular slots sites for online and phone payment real money games. Play at SlotJar today and receive a great bonus when you deposit. Play over 2800 different games.
Get 100% Bonus Up to £200 Now!
*18+ Only Full Terms Apply.
Land the valuable symbols on this amazing slot and experience real JOY and the chance of almost unlimited free spins bonus rounds!
Top Slot Site is packed with over 2800 top slot games for you to enjoy. Get started at this fantastic slots site today!
**18+ Only, New Players Only. Wager from real balance first. 50X wager the bonus. Contribution varies per game. selected games only. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Bonus valid 30 days / Free spins valid 7 days from receipt. Max conversion: 3x the bonus amount or from free spins: £20. Withdrawal requests voids all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.
Lucks Casino is well-trusted and here to stay. LucksCasino.com takes advantage of a full suite of top-tier games, meaning you will always be fully entertained. Check out the deals on the site right now!
- Get 100% up to $€£200 Bonus Today!*
*18+ Only, New Players Only. Wager from real balance first. 50X wager the bonus. Contribution varies per game. selected games only. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Bonus valid 30 days / Free spins valid 7 days from receipt. Max conversion: 3x the bonus amount or from free spins: £20. Withdrawal requests voids all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.
Start Today: Play with Real Money NOW!
Exciting Theme: The game's theme is based on ancient Egyptian mythology, which creates an exciting and immersive experience for players.
Miami Dolphins at Chicago Bears (+5)
This was the 1st bet I made this week. Not only did I get down on Chicago’s spread with a cash bet, but I locked in a “pizza bet” with the homie, Dan Zaksheske on this week’s OutKick Bets With Geoff Clark podcast.
READ: ‘Sharps’ Backing Bears Over Dolphins And You Should Too
My main handicapping angle for Dolphins-Bears is the mis-pricing of the line. Miami closed as 3.5-point road favorites at the Detroit Lions in Week 8 and we’re getting +5 in Chicago Sunday.
There’s no effing way the Lions are 1.5 points better than the Bears. Especially considering how well Chicago’s offense and QB Justin Fields have kept the chains moving lately.
Buffalo Bills (-12.5) at New York Jets
The Bills beat the shit out of bad teams and the oddsmakers are saying the Jets are bad. It’s rare that a team with a winning record is a double-digit underdog.
Favorites of 10+ points vs. winning teams have covered 11 of their last 12. It’s even rarer those are double-digit road favorites visiting teams above-.500.
In fact, the last time that happened was in 2007 when the 15-0 New England Patriots visited the New York Giants in Week 17. The 10-5 Giants covered as 13.5-point home underdogs in a 38-35 loss. We all remember how that turned out.
READ: BET: Bills Will Humble An Overrated Jets Squad Sunday
And, as I discussed earlier this week, over the last five-plus seasons, double-digit favorites vs. teams with a winning record after Week 8 are 6-0 ATS with a +10.8 ATS margin.
Essentially, the sportsbooks are calling the Jets frauds that will get exposed in Week 9. Oddsmakers are begging for Jets action. Let’s lay the lumber with the Bills.
Las Vegas Raiders (-1.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
This one is more of a gut feeling that Jacksonville is overrated because of analytics sites. The Jaguars have a plus-point differential on the season and have better efficiency metrics.
But, the 2-6 Jacksonville Jaguars are somehow overrated due to misleading statistics. The Jaguars were amazing in their two wins and found crazy ways to lose the other six games.
Storytime …
The Jaguars choked Week 1 to the Carson Wentz-led Washington Commanders 28-22 as 3-point underdogs despite having a +2 turnover margin. Their current 5-game losing skid has been a roller coaster ride.
Jacksonville squandered a double-digit first-half lead at the Philadelphia Eagles in a 29-21 Week 5 loss. The Jags outgained the Houston Texans by nearly 200 total yards in Week 6 and lost 13-9.
In Week 6, Colts QB Matt Ryan had his best game of the season in Indy’s 34-27 win vs. Jacksonville. Ryan has since been benched.
Jacksonville Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence runs the ball alongside RB Travis Etienne during the game against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. (Michael Hickey/Getty Images)
A red zone turnover by Jaguars RB Travis Etienne led to Jacksonville’s 23-17 loss to the New York Giants in Week 7.
Last weekend, in London, Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence imploded in the second half of Jacksonville’s 21-17 loss to the lowly Denver Broncos.
What’s the moral of this story? The Jaguars still suck.
The Raiders’ losses feel more excusable. Aside from a no-show last week at the New Orleans Saints, Vegas could’ve won all its other games. Also, Vegas should get back Pro Bowl TE Darren Waller. He almost played last week but was ruled out last minute.
Regardless of what the stats say, a healthy Raiders team is better than the Jaguars by my eye. Jacksonville’s disappointing season will get worse after a Week 9 loss to Vegas.
Carolina Panthers (+7.5) at Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati’s Week 9 injury report is a hellscape of bad things for the Bengals. They have cluster injuries in their secondary and DT D.J. Reader (not listed) was sent to the IR weeks ago. Reader was Cincy’s highest-graded player, according to Pro Football Focus (PFF).
The Cincinnati Bengals’ Week 9 injury report is courtesy of the team’s website.
Also, Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase‘s absence leaves doubt in my mind about their offense. Sure, Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow is an alpha. However, with no deep threat, Cincy’s offense isn’t scary.
I give further analysis when breaking it down with Dan Z on the “11 NFL Week 9 Locks” episode of the OutKick Bets With Geoff Clark podcast.
But, I like how this Panthers team has played under interim head coach Steve Wilks and the Bengals, with their injuries, feel too expensive.
Baltimore Ravens at New Orleans Saints (+2.5)
Speaking of “cluster injuries,” the Ravens are rife with them. Baltimore Pro Bowl TE Mark Andrews left last week’s game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with an injury and didn’t return.
Second-year Ravens WR Rashod Bateman is now out for the season; RB Gus Edwards hasn’t practiced all week and neither has Andrews.
Furthermore, Saints MLB Demario Davis is one of the best guys to defend Lamar Jackson. According to PFF, Davis is the best linebacker in the NFL out of 81 linebackers graded.
Davis is the quarterback of New Orleans’ defense and his job will be a lot easier against this shell of a Baltimore offense.
New Orleans Saints Demario Davis celebrates with the rest of the defense after recovering a fumble by Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Tom Brady at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. (Chris Graythen/Getty Images)
That said, my one concern is Saints QB Andy Dalton who’s a known primetime choker. Dalton in primetime is the prequel to Kirk Cousins in primetime.
However, NOLA first-year head coach Dennis Allen made Dalton the starter regardless of Jameis Winston‘s health because Dalton turns the ball over less.
And, if you remove turnovers, the Saints are 3rd in offensive expected points added per play. New Orleans has weapons in the offense and is 2nd in net success rate behind the Bills.
Finally, this is a Pros (Saints) vs. Joe’s (Ravens) game in the betting market. Per Pregame.com, more than three-fourths of the money in the consensus market is on New Orleans, while nearly 60% of the public is betting on Baltimore.
The Saints are my last team in on the NFL Week 9 entry but let’s follow the cash flowing toward New Orleans.
FOLLOW GEOFF ON TWITTER: @Geoffery_Clark
Listen to the ‘OutKick Bets with Geoff Clark’ podcast HERE.
PointsBet Sportsbook users can make their first bets risk-free up to $2,000. If the bet loses, PointsBet will refund you in site credit. New users can lock in this offer NOW by clicking this link.
First-time DraftKings users can get up to a $1,000 Deposit Bonus and receive a 20% first deposit match up to $1,000 when they sign up. New users can lock in this offer NOW by clicking this link.
[ad_2]
#Circa #Million #NFL #Week #Picks #OutKick
Betting,gambling picks,NFL,NFL gambling
