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Chiefs, Mahomes Will Humble Jaguars In AFC Divisional Round – Mobile Betting Online – Mobile Betting Online
Another yr, one other first-spherical bye for the AFC’s 1-seed, Kansas City Chiefs, who host the AFC South champion Jacksonville Jaguars Saturday within the AFC divisional spherical. Kickoff at Arrowhead Stadium is 4:30 p.m. ET.
Patrick Mahomes seems to guide the Chiefs to their fifth consecutive AFC title game since turning into the starter in 2018. Mahomes is the perfect within the biz and is a lock for the 2022 NFL MVP.
Kansas City had an AFC-best 14-3 common-season document to earn its fourth first-spherical bye up to now 5 seasons. But, the Chiefs play with their meals and are simply 5-11-1 towards the unfold (ATS).
Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes scrambles from defensive stress by the Jacksonville Jaguars at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. (David Eulitt/Getty Images)
Speaking of “playing with their food,” the Jaguars fell right into a 27-0 earlier than rallying to beat the Chargers 31-30 with a game-winning FG as time expired in final week’s AFC Wild Card spherical.
Trevor Lawrence recovered from a 4-INT first half to throw 4 TD passes within the second half and led Jacksonville to scores on all 5 drives after halftime.
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The Chiefs demolished the Jaguars 27-17 in KC earlier this season in a game far worse than the ultimate rating signifies. But, the Chiefs pushed as 10-level favorites, which is what this game opened at.
Moneyline: Jaguars (+350), Chiefs (-435) ATS: Jaguars +8.5 (-105), CHIEFS -8.5 (-115)Total — 53 — Over: -110, Under: -110
I’ve a concept so that you can fully disregard: Sharps or betting syndicates steamed KC’s unfold all the way down to a bonus teaser-friendly number.
In a “teaser” you add 6 factors to a line however have to mix at the very least two legs. An “advantage teaser” within the NFL is if you tease a workforce previous the important thing number of +7 or under -3.
Once the Chiefs acquired all the way down to -8.5, KC mixed with the Eagles -7.5 (teased all the way down to -1.5) internet hosting the Giants is “America’s Teaser” within the NFL divisional spherical.
What I’m getting at is let’s not fear concerning the line motion towards Jacksonville. My hunch is the Chiefs bounce again as much as -9 earlier than kickoff Saturday as a result of they’re clearly the best aspect.
Kansas City dump-trucked Jacksonville in Week 10 regardless of a -3 turnover margin. The Chiefs out-gained the Jaguars 7.8-5.2 in yards per play, transformed 9 more first downs (26-17), had no penalties and out-sacked the Jaguars 5-0.
Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes prepares to launch one towards the Jaguars at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. (David Eulitt/Getty Images)
Mahomes torched the Jaguars, connecting on 26-of-35 passes for 331 yards with a 4/1 TD/INT ratio and a 129.6 QB Rating. Chiefs All-Pro TE Travis Kelce caught 6 of these balls for 81 yards and 1 TD.
Also, casual NFL followers underrate KC’s secondary and Chiefs All-Pro DT Chris Jones will dominate Jacksonville’s offensive line. Jones led KC with 1.5 sacks and a pair of QB hits vs. the Jaguars in Week 10.
Per Pro Football Focus, the entire Jaguars’ beginning offensive linemen have under-common grades. Jacksonville’s three beginning wideouts have a under-common WR/CB matchup as nicely.
If we’re being real, it’s Mahomes’ and the Chiefs’ world and we’re all simply dwelling in it. Sure, they don’t cowl massive numbers however Kansas City’s three losses this season have been by a mixed 10 factors.
Most importantly, the Chiefs are 6-3 ATS within the playoffs since Mahomes turned the starter and the Jaguars are at the very least a yr away from competing on this game.
BEST BET: Chiefs -8.5 (-115) at DraftKings
The Kansas City Chiefs’ odds for the full-game vs. Jacksonville Jaguars from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Thursday, Jan. nineteenth at 6 p.m. ET.
PS Player Prop: Kansas City RB Jerick McKinnon OVER 34.5 receiving yards (-110)
McKinnon’s function in KC’s offense has expanded because the season progresses. He has at the very least 36 receiving yards in seven of the final 10 games, together with 6 catches for 56 yards in Week 10 vs. the Jaguars.
Furthermore, McKinnon is fourth in move targets for Kansas City (71) and third in receptions (56). His reception prop is 4.5 and McKinnon averages 9.1 yards per reception.
Jaguars LB Chad Muma tackles Chiefs RB Jerick McKinnon at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. (David Eulitt/Getty Images)
So even when he will get hooked and finishes with 4 catches, McKinnon can nonetheless end with roughly 36 receiving yards based mostly on his yard-per-reception common.
Jacksonville may have its palms full with Kelce, which can result in alternatives for McKinnon. The Jaguars enable the second-most receiving yards to opposing working backs.
For the document, Kansas City’s unfold is my favourite gambling look on this game. I’d solely wager 1 / 4-unit or so on McKinnon’s receiving yards prop.
Kansas City Chiefs RB Jerick McKinnon’s receiving yards prop from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Thursday, Jan. nineteenth at 6 p.m. ET.
Follow or fade my picks here, for not simply the NFL however the NBA, NHL, PGA Tour, faculty football, and faculty hoops as nicely!
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