NFL Conference Championship Betting Picks From Analyst Hitting 59% – uBetMobile.com

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NFL Conference Championship Betting Picks From Analyst Hitting 59% – Mobile Betting Online

, NFL Conference Championship Betting Picks From Analyst Hitting 59% – uBetMobile.com

Full disclosure: I began the season extraordinarily sizzling and cooled off in the direction of the top of the yr. I made eight Wild Card bets and went 3-5. Still, I’ve hit on almost 59% of my picks this season (44-31, 58.7%). I took the Divisional Round off to take a look at my course of and I’ve come again to the table with NFL betting picks for Conference Championship Sunday.

Sometimes it’s a must to take a break and look at your course of. I be ok with my evaluation, even within the down weeks, and one of the best factor to do is get proper again on the horse. Hitting on over 58% of picks has made our NFL betting choices worthwhile this season, and I really feel a powerful end coming.

That stated, here we go…

Wild Card Weekend NFL Betting Picks (3-5)

George Kittle Over 43.5 Receiving Yards

Geno Smith Over 15.5 Rushing Yards

Jamycal Hasty Over 10.5 Rushing Yards

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Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars Under 47.5

Josh Allen Under 50.5 Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings -3 Over New York Giants

Justin Jefferson Over 91.5 Receiving Yards

Ja’Marr Chase Over 6.5 Catches

NFC Conference Championship Betting Picks

San Francisco 49ers (+2.5) over Philadelphia Eagles

Everyone assumes Brock Purdy’s inexperience will ultimately show up. The sharps are betting the Eagles arduous due to it. While I’m not going to fake like there aren’t some bumps within the highway coming for Purdy in some unspecified time in the future, don’t overlook that Jalen Hurts is simply as vulnerable to points in large games.

Hurts misplaced his first profession playoff begin final season and performed very poorly. He performed effectively sufficient final week, however the end result was by no means unsure. The staff simply protected him and a giant lead and he didn’t must do a lot other than not fully fail.

This game shall be shut. I’m taking the Under as a result of I believe it’s going to be a defensive game and a slugfest. Because of that, I additionally wish to seize the factors in a contest I count on to be shut. I additionally consider Hurts will make a mistake that prices his staff. Don’t overlook that Hurts is coping with a shoulder harm. It price him two common season games and he’s not 100% wholesome.

We’re fading the Eagles and Jalen Hurts with one in all our NFL betting picks on Conference Championship Sunday. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire through Getty Images)

The San Francisco 49ers are probably the most gifted staff within the NFL from top to backside. I believe to beat them it’s going to take elite quarterback play. I simply don’t consider Hurts is elite and his harm hampers him even further. I like San Francisco to win outright, however I’ll take the factors for insurance coverage. I’ve been ready for the road to get to 49ers +3, however books know that persons are going to leap throughout that.

And we are going to.

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles Under 46.5 Points

Vegas is begging you to take the Over here. Bettors love backing the Over, particularly in large games. This is a matchup between the league’s second-highest scoring staff (Philadelphia, 28.6 factors per game) and the league’s fourth-highest scoring offense (San Francisco, 26.8 factors). Yet, the road is simply within the mid-40s.

Yes, each groups have glorious defenses (San Francisco led the league in scoring protection, 16.4 and Philly was sixth at 19.5) however this has more to do with how this game shall be performed. Kyle Shanahan is a notoriously conservative coach. With the Eagles boasting a historic go rush, they’ll try and run the ball. Quite a bit. With Christian McCaffrey, Elijah Mitchell and even Deebo Samuel mixing in, you’d too.

Expect the 49ers to make use of Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel to maintain the clock shifting and again the Under within the NFC Championship with an NFL betting choose. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)

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Plus, Brock Purdy confirmed some limitation throwing downfield final week in opposition to Dallas. With the Eagles go rush, it’s going to be a number of fast passes. Quick passes are simpler to finish, and thus, maintain the clock shifting.

The Eagles are going to try to run, too. As talked about, Jalen Hurts is nonetheless nursing a shoulder harm. This has all of the makings of a more previous-faculty football game between two groups making an attempt to ascertain the run and play good protection. I don’t suppose Nick Sirianni shall be as aggressive, particularly dealing with a conservative opposing coach. I believe this is a area place battle that stays Under the full.

AJ Brown Over 69.5 Receiving Yards

This is a “squeaky wheel get the grease” handicap. Brown confirmed frustration together with his lack of involvement (three catches, 22 yards) in final week’s win over the Giants, regardless of the Eagles completely blasting the New York Giants. If the Eagles are going to succeed in and/or win the Super Bowl, they should maintain their finest offensive participant completely satisfied.

Despite successful final week, the 49ers allowed CeeDee Lamb to catch 10 balls for 117 yards. Brown is higher than Lamb, the Eagles simply have more options. DeVonta Smith appeared to take over because the go-to man late within the season. But, with the season on the road, count on Brown to get the ball. They didn’t commerce a primary spherical choose to have Brown watch from the sideline within the largest game of the season.

Miles Sanders Under 50.5 Rushing Yards

You simply can’t run on San Francisco. Unless your title is Josh Jacobs, who ran over everybody this season. Since the 49ers bye week, solely two groups rushed for 100+ yards whole, the Raiders and the Seahawks. I count on Jalen Hurt to be closely concerned within the run game, plus Philadelphia likes to combine in Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott.

Expect a down game from Miles Sanders within the NFC Championship in opposition to the league’s second-finest speeding protection with one other NFL betting choice. (Photo by Dustin Satloff/Getty Images)

With 4 options within the run game and dealing with the league’s second-finest rush protection (79 yards per game), I don’t suppose there shall be sufficient quantity for Sanders to recover from 50 yards speeding.

AFC Conference Championship Betting Picks

Cincinnati Bengals (-1) over Kansas City Chiefs

I’m going to take the bait. I’ve to again the crimson-sizzling Cincinnati Bengals. They haven’t misplaced a football game since October. Joe Burrow is 3-0 in opposition to a HEALTHY Patrick Mahomes. Although I believe the Chiefs will nonetheless be capable of put up some factors, I don’t suppose they’ll be capable of sustain with the Bengals.

The Jaguars stayed aggressive after the Mahomes harm and Cincinnati is far more gifted than the Jags. The largest query mark is the Bengals beat up offensive line. They held up in opposition to Buffalo, however the Bills can’t rush the passer just like the Chiefs can. Neither Alex Cappa nor Jonah Williams practiced on Wednesday and that’s not a fantastic signal.

But the Bengals appear to have one thing discovered in opposition to the Chiefs protection. Burrow was sacked 19 instances in final yr’s playoffs, however solely as soon as by the Chiefs. Kansas City solely obtained to Burrow as soon as on this season’s game, as effectively. Granted, the Bengals have been more healthy then, however they seem to know the way to block the Chiefs and get the ball out of Burrow’s palms rapidly.

Expect one other large game from Joe Burrow at Arrowhead within the AFC Championship game and again the Bengals with one other NFL betting choice. (Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire through Getty Images)

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The Chiefs simply don’t have the athletes within the second and third ranges of their protection to hold with the likes of Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, who I believe ought to each eat on this one. I’m backing the Bengals to make it again-to-again Super Bowl appearances.

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs Over 47.5 Points

I believe this line is under 50 due to the Patrick Mahomes harm. All three games between Burrow’s Bengals and Mahomes’ Chiefs have seen no less than 51 factors. Last season’s AFC Championship was a 27-24 Bengals victory. Burrow’s Bengals common 24.6 factors within the playoffs in opposition to AFC opponents.

They’re going to attain. It’s the apparent uncertainty with Mahomes, however the staff managed to attain 27 factors final week in opposition to Jacksonville and even Chad Henne led them on a landing-scoring drive. Andy Reid can have a gameplan designed to work round Mahomes’ apparent bodily limitations and the Chiefs will nonetheless do their share of scoring.

Patrick Mahomes quarterbacked Chiefs groups have by no means been held below 20 factors in a playoff game in opposition to AFC opponents. In the final 4 AFC Championship games, the Chiefs have averaged 32 factors per game. Use Mahomes’ harm to your benefit and seize a barely deflated number.

Joe Burrow Over 17.5 Rushing Yards

As I wrote when writing up the Geno Smith speeding prop, quarterbacks must do no matter it takes to win within the playoffs. That means speeding makes an attempt enhance as guys try to make performs to maintain the chains shifting.

Burrow is no stranger to utilizing his legs to realize additional yards, particularly in opposition to the Chiefs. When Cincinnati beat Kansas City within the common season, Burrow rushed 11 instances for 46 yards. That was the one game this season the place he had double-digit carries.

In final yr’s AFC Championship in opposition to the Chiefs, Burrow ran 5 instances for 25 yards. Last week in opposition to Buffalo, the third-yr quarterback scrambled for 31 yards. In large games, in opposition to top groups, Burrow fearlessly rushes when the state of affairs warrants. Enough conditions ought to come up on this game to get us over 17.5 yards.

Ja’Marr Chase Over 82.5 Receiving Yards

I count on a Ja’Marr Chase breakout game on Sunday in opposition to the Chiefs. He’s been held comparatively in check this postseason, amassing below 100 yards receiving in each playoff games. Last week in opposition to Buffalo, Chase had simply 5 catches. That broke a streak of nine-straight games with 7+ receptions. It was simply the second game this season that Chase didn’t document no less than seven catches.

Since Chase annihilated the Chiefs in his first matchup in opposition to them (11 catches, 266 yards, 3 touchdowns within the ’21-22 season), Kansas City has locked down the Bengals star. Well, as a lot as a staff can lock down one of many game’s finest. He recorded simply six catches for 54 yards and a rating in final yr’s AFC Championship.

Expect a giant game from Ja’Marr Chase within the AFC Championship game and again his over in your NFL betting picks. (Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire through Getty Images)

In Week 13 this yr, Chase had seven catches for 97 yards. Buffalo held Chase to 61 yards final week in blizzard, and the Bengals dominated that game. That led to much less alternative for Chase. That might occur once more this week, however I count on the Chiefs to be more aggressive, even with a hobbled Mahomes.

I might give a bunch more stats. But call this a intestine feeling. Chase is going off on Sunday. Book it.

Isiah Pacheco Over 6.5 Receiving Yards

Pacheco hasn’t been overly concerned within the receiving game, principally because of the emergence of Jerick McKinnon. However, in a game the place Patrick Mahomes is going to be nearly motionless, dump off passes are going to be an enormous a part of the game plan. Expect to see an honest quantity of McKinnon, however the Chiefs can’t get predictable by placing McKinnon in solely in passing conditions.

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Pacheco sees sufficient offensive snaps (21+ in 11 straight games) that he’s going to be focused within the passing game. Yes, he has solely six yards receiving over the previous two weeks mixed. But once more, Mahomes received’t be capable of run. Immobile quarterbacks use their operating backs within the passing game more than mobile quarterbacks. Those performs the place Mahomes takes off shall be modified to getting it to his backfield mate.

Prior to the previous two games, Pacheco averaged 11.7 yards per catch over the earlier six games. If he can preserve even just a bit over half of that, we simply want one catch to hit our prop. I see that occuring simply.

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About Post Author

Dave Petchy

I am a passionate, dedicated guy who's been living in London for 10 years now. I love good food, being creative, cycling and having fun. I'm a firm believer that anything worth achieving is worth working hard for and that you should always challenge yourself to be the best version of you possible. I work as an editor at Petchy Media – the award-winning news site that makes quality journalism accessible to everyone. I've also written for The Guardian and worked with brands like Nike, Adidas and KFC on content production projects.
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