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BET Trail Blazers ATS And Two More NBA Locks For Tuesday, Jan. 17 – Mobile Betting Online – Mobile Betting Online
Tuesday’s NBA slate options an NBA on TNT doubleheader with solely two different games on the docket. Regardless, I’m honing in on three of them with greatest bets in Nets-Spurs, Trail Blazers-Nuggets and 76ers-Clippers.
You can hearken to the audio variations of those handicaps on my lately launched NBA Hoops At Lunch present on the Mobile Betting Online Bets Podcast feed Monday-Friday.
(Buyer beware: It’s the “load management” period within the NBA and gamers are sitting out extra games. It would behoove you to attend till the ultimate harm reviews earlier than betting.)
Brooklyn Nets (27-15) at San Antonio Spurs (13-31)
Brooklyn smacked San Antonio 139-103 of their first assembly earlier this month, cashing the Over on a 237.5-level complete. The Nets’ offense has suffered since Kevin Durant went out with an harm. They have gone Under the overall in 5 straight.
But, this ought to be a get-proper spot for Brooklyn’s offense. San Antonio has the worst non-rubbish time defensive ranking within the NBA, per CleansingTheGlass.com (CTG).
The Spurs are backside-10 in factors off of turnovers, second-likelihood factors per sport (PPG) and paint PPG allowed. Furthermore, San Antonio performs on the seventh-quickest tempo within the NBA.
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Brooklyn Nets’ Ben Simmons strikes the ball up the courtroom in the course of the sport towards the Cleveland Cavaliers at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse in Cleveland, Ohio. (Kirk Irwin/Getty Images)
More possessions normally equals extra factors. Also, Nets PG Ben Simmons returns to the lineup after lacking the final sport, which helps our Over wager. Brooklyn will get out in transition much more with Simmons on the ground and its fastbreak effectivity tremendously improves.
All the Over/Under (O/U) traits for San Antonio level to this being the next-scoring affair. The Spurs are 13-9 O/U at dwelling, 5-0 O/U of their final 5 games vs. groups with a 60% profitable charge or increased and 233.4 PPG are scored in Spurs’ dwelling games.
Lastly, these groups are a mixed 19-10 O/U in non-convention games. I.e. each groups’ offenses present out vs. unfamiliar opponents.
NBA Best Bet #1: OVER 232 in Nets-Spurs (-110) at DraftKings Sportsbook, as much as 233.5
Odds for the OVER in Brooklyn Nets at San Antonio Spurs from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Tuesday, Jan. 17 at 1:20 p.m. ET.
Portland Trail Blazers (21-22) at Denver Nuggets (30-13)
Denver leads the season sequence 2-1 straight up (SU) however Portland is 2-1 towards the unfold (ATS) in these contests. In their final assembly, the Nuggets stole a SU and ATS victory by beating the Trail Blazers 35-16 within the third quarter of a 120-107 win.
Both groups have related profiles; every is top-10 in non-rubbish time offensive ranking and backside-10 in non-rubbish time defensive ranking, per CTG.
However, the Trail Blazers have a +3.4 ATS margin (ranked fourth) vs. top-10 offenses and the Nuggets have a -3.5 ATS margin (twenty fifth).
Portland is 13-5 SU vs. backside-10 defenses with a +7.1 adjusted internet ranking (fifth) and +3.8 ATS margin (third). Whereas Denver is 14-8 SU however have a +1.7 adjusted nRTG (18th) and -3.4 ATS margin (twenty ninth), per CTG.
Denver Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic posts up Portland Trail Blazers F Jerami Grant on the Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. (Garrett Ellwood/NBAE by way of Getty Images)
Furthermore, the Trail Blazers have the very best shot high quality within the NBA and try the seventh-highest quantity of area targets on the rim. Denver is twenty ninth in defensive area aim share vs. makes an attempt on the rim and twenty fourth in paint PPG allowed.
Finally, sharp cash is backing Portland. According to VegasInsider, the bets a cut up 50/50 in Vegas on this sport however greater than 90% of the cash is on the Blazers.
Per Pregame.com, more cash is on Portland and extra bets are on Denver, on the time of writing. DraftKings is reporting by way of VSIN that additional cash and bets are on the Nuggets. But, the road is oddly transferring towards the Trail Blazers.
NBA Best Bet #2: Portland Trail Blazers +6.5 (-110) at DraftKings Sportsbook, all the way down to +6
The Portland Trail Blazers’ odds on the Denver Nuggets from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Tuesday, Jan. 17 at 1:20 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia 76ers (27-16) at Los Angeles Clippers (23-22)
I’m going again to the nicely by betting one other Under in a Clippers’ dwelling sport. LAC is 3-20 O/U at dwelling this season with a -10.0 O/U margin and 1-7 O/U as dwelling ‘canine.
Both groups play at a snail’s tempo: Philadelphia is twenty third in possessions per 48 minutes and LAC is twenty second. There shouldn’t be quite a lot of second-likelihood factors since neither workforce crashes the glass: Philly is twenty sixth in offensive rebounding charge and LAC is nineteenth, per CTG.
The Clippers’ offense has suffered due to the absences of Paul George and SG Luke Kennard. George is “questionable” to play however Kennard has already been dominated out.
LAC scores 8.0 fewer factors per 100 possessions when PG is off the ground, in keeping with CTG. Their offense’s efficient area aim capturing (eFG%) drops by 4.2% when Kennard is out of the sport.
Clippers F Marcus Morris is “questionable” to play and their protection improves by 6.9 factors per 100 possessions in non-rubbish time when Morris is off the ground.
Los Angeles Clippers G/F Terance Mann defends Philadelphia 76ers’ James Harden at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. (Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images)
Moreover, Clippers coach Ty Lue changed PG Reggie Jackson within the beginning 5 with G/F Terance Mann, which improves LAC’s protection. The Clippers are 1-5 O/U within the 5 games since beginning Mann at PG.
Lastly, each groups are top-10 in non-rubbish time defensive ranking and defensive eFG%. LAC is fourth in defensive FT/FGA charge and the Sixers live on the foul line.
The Over on a 218-level complete cashed within the first 76ers-Clippers assembly this season in a 119-114 Philadelphia win. This explains why greater than 80% of the motion at DraftKings is on the Over, per VSIN.
However, what’s suspicious is the truth that the 76ers-Clippers opened with a 225-level complete and has been lowered regardless of all of the pro-Over cash. Let’s comply with the road transfer and …
NBA Best Bet #3: UNDER 223 in 76ers-Clippers (-105) at DraftKings Sportsbook, all the way down to 222
Odds for the UNDER in Philadelphia 76ers at Los Angeles Clippers from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Tuesday, Jan. 17 at 1:20 p.m. ET.
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